Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Lower.com Field, Columbus, Ohio
The Footlab model makes Columbus Crew the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Colorado Rapids. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Columbus Crew (1,808) and Colorado Rapids (1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Columbus Crew have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Colorado Rapids have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nashville SC(away) | 2-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | CF Montreal(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 1-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 11, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Diego(away) | 0-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sporting Kansas City(home) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austin(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 26, 2026 | St. Louis City(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Columbus Crew win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Colorado Rapids win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Colorado Rapids 1-4 Columbus Crew | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2023 | Columbus Crew 3-2 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Colorado Rapids 1-1 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| May 26, 2019 | Colorado Rapids 3-2 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Columbus Crew 2-1 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 4, 2017 | Colorado Rapids 2-1 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Colorado Rapids vs Columbus Crew on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Columbus Crew score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Colorado Rapids score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Colorado Rapids | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Columbus Crew sit 14th in Major League Soccer (20 points from 21 matches) and Colorado Rapids sit 7th (28 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 28 |
| 14 | Columbus Crew | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 36 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids?
- The Footlab model makes Columbus Crew the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Colorado Rapids.
- Where and when is Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids played?
- Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Lower.com Field, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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