Where and when is Inter Miami vs Atlanta United FC played?

Inter Miami vs Atlanta United FC is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Chase Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Inter Miami vs Atlanta United FC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, Florida

Inter Miami

Atlanta United FC

The Footlab model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for Atlanta United FC. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Inter Miami vs Atlanta United FC?

Inter Miami starts as the favourite with a 214-point Elo edge (1,909 vs 1,695).

Inter Miami win62 %

Draw19 %

Atlanta United FC win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter Miami have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Atlanta United FC have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Inter Miami
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Toronto FC(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Philadelphia Union(away)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Nashville SC(away)	1-4	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	Leon(home)	2-3	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Monterrey(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup

Atlanta United FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Minnesota United FC(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	New York Red Bulls(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026	Philadelphia Union(away)	2-3	Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026	New England Revolution(away)	1-4	Major League Soccer
Jul 23, 2026	Charlotte(away)	2-2	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Inter Miami win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Atlanta United FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 11, 2025	Inter Miami 4-0 Atlanta United FC	Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025	Atlanta United FC 1-2 Inter Miami	Major League Soccer
Nov 10, 2024	Inter Miami 2-3 Atlanta United FC	Major League Soccer
Nov 2, 2024	Atlanta United FC 2-1 Inter Miami	Major League Soccer
Oct 26, 2024	Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta United FC	Major League Soccer
Sep 18, 2024	Atlanta United FC 2-2 Inter Miami	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Inter Miami vs Atlanta United FC on Oct 11, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Inter Miami score 2.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Atlanta United FC score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Inter Miami	2.5	2.2	2	13/15	12/15
Atlanta United FC	1.3	1.8	1	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Inter Miami sit 2nd in Major League Soccer (39 points from 21 matches) and Atlanta United FC sit 15th (18 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Inter Miami	21	11	6	4	49	40	39
15	Atlanta United FC	20	5	3	12	23	35	18

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Inter Miami vs Atlanta United FC?: The Footlab model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for Atlanta United FC.
Where and when is Inter Miami vs Atlanta United FC played?: Inter Miami vs Atlanta United FC is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Chase Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.