Match

Orlando City SC vs San Diego: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, Florida

Orlando City SCSan Diego

The Footlab model makes Orlando City SC the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for San Diego. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Orlando City SC vs San Diego?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Orlando City SC (1,786) and San Diego (1,809).

Orlando City SC win45 %
Draw23 %
San Diego win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orlando City SC have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; San Diego have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Orlando City SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Real Salt Lake(home)2-1Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026Chicago Fire(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026FC Cincinnati(home)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026Atletico San Luis(home)2-2Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026Leon(home)1-2Leagues Cup
San Diego
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Colorado Rapids(home)3-0Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026Portland Timbers(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026Los Angeles FC(away)1-0Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026Puebla(home)3-2Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026Club Tijuana(home)1-0Leagues Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Orlando City SC score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; San Diego score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Orlando City SC2.11.9212/1511/15
San Diego1.71.559/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Orlando City SC sit 9th in Major League Soccer (24 points from 21 matches) and San Diego sit 11th (27 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Orlando City SC217311345124
11San Diego21768373227

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Orlando City SC vs San Diego?
The Footlab model makes Orlando City SC the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for San Diego.
Where and when is Orlando City SC vs San Diego played?
Orlando City SC vs San Diego is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Inter&Co Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Orlando City SC and San Diego

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