Match

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)BC Place, Vancouver, British Columbia

Vancouver WhitecapsAustin

The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Austin. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin?

Vancouver Whitecaps starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,764).

Vancouver Whitecaps win76 %
Draw16 %
Austin win9 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vancouver Whitecaps have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Austin have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vancouver Whitecaps
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Houston Dynamo(home)0-1Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026Seattle Sounders(away)2-0Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026Tigres UANL(away)1-1Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026FC Juarez(home)1-3Leagues Cup
Aug 5, 2026Atlante FC(home)0-1Leagues Cup
Austin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Seattle Sounders(away)2-1Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026FC Dallas(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2026Club America(away)1-1Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026Puebla(home)3-0Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026Club Tijuana(home)2-0Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Vancouver Whitecaps win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Austin win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 18, 2025Austin 0-0 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
Apr 12, 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 5-1 AustinMajor League Soccer
Sep 1, 2024Austin 0-1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
May 5, 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 0-0 AustinMajor League Soccer
Jul 13, 2023Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 AustinMajor League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023Austin 0-0 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps on May 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Vancouver Whitecaps score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Austin score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Vancouver Whitecaps1.31.5210/155/15
Austin1.31.747/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Vancouver Whitecaps sit 2nd in Major League Soccer (37 points from 19 matches) and Austin sit 14th (20 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Vancouver Whitecaps191144401837
14Austin205510253920

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin?
The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Austin.
Where and when is Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin played?
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin is played on September 13, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC) at BC Place, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Vancouver Whitecaps and Austin

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