Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)BC Place, Vancouver, British Columbia
The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Austin. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin?
Vancouver Whitecaps starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vancouver Whitecaps have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Austin have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Atlante FC(home) | 0-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Club America(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Puebla(home) | 3-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Vancouver Whitecaps win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Austin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Austin 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Vancouver Whitecaps 5-1 Austin | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Austin 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| May 5, 2024 | Vancouver Whitecaps 0-0 Austin | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 13, 2023 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Austin | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Austin 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps on May 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Vancouver Whitecaps score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Austin score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Austin | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vancouver Whitecaps sit 2nd in Major League Soccer (37 points from 19 matches) and Austin sit 14th (20 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Austin | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 39 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin?
- The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Austin.
- Where and when is Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin played?
- Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin is played on September 13, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC) at BC Place, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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