Bałtyk Koszalin vs Lipno Stęszew: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, Koszalin
The Footlab model makes Lipno Stęszew the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Bałtyk Koszalin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bałtyk Koszalin vs Lipno Stęszew?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Bałtyk Koszalin (1,653) and Lipno Stęszew (1,708).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bałtyk Koszalin have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Lipno Stęszew have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Luzino(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wda Świecie(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elana Toruń(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bałtyk Koszalin | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Lipno Stęszew | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bałtyk Koszalin sit 13th in III Liga - Group 2 (5 points from 5 matches) and Lipno Stęszew sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
| 17 | Lipno Stęszew | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bałtyk Koszalin vs Lipno Stęszew?
- The Footlab model makes Lipno Stęszew the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Bałtyk Koszalin.
- Where and when is Bałtyk Koszalin vs Lipno Stęszew played?
- Bałtyk Koszalin vs Lipno Stęszew is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Polonia ŚrodavsNoteć Czarnków
- Apr 10, 2027Lech Poznań IIvsElana Toruń
- Apr 10, 2027KaliszvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Apr 10, 2027Flota ŚwinoujścievsGrom Nowy Staw
- Apr 10, 2027Kluczevia StargardvsWda Świecie
- Apr 10, 2027LuzinovsUnia Swarzędz
- Apr 10, 2027Victoria WrześniavsStargard Szczeciński
- Apr 10, 2027Kotwica KórnikvsGedania Gdansk