Match

Bałtyk Koszalin vs Lipno Stęszew: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, Koszalin

Bałtyk KoszalinLipno Stęszew

The Footlab model makes Lipno Stęszew the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Bałtyk Koszalin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bałtyk Koszalin vs Lipno Stęszew?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Bałtyk Koszalin (1,653) and Lipno Stęszew (1,708).

Bałtyk Koszalin win36 %
Draw25 %
Lipno Stęszew win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bałtyk Koszalin have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Lipno Stęszew have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bałtyk Koszalin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kalisz(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(away)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Flota Świnoujście(home)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Luzino(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Środa(home)0-3III Liga - Group 2
Lipno Stęszew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Polonia Środa(home)2-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Lech Poznań II(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(home)1-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Wda Świecie(away)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Elana Toruń(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bałtyk Koszalin1.11.729/158/15
Lipno Stęszew1.31.747/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bałtyk Koszalin sit 13th in III Liga - Group 2 (5 points from 5 matches) and Lipno Stęszew sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Bałtyk Koszalin5122475
17Lipno Stęszew50145111

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bałtyk Koszalin vs Lipno Stęszew?
The Footlab model makes Lipno Stęszew the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Bałtyk Koszalin.
Where and when is Bałtyk Koszalin vs Lipno Stęszew played?
Bałtyk Koszalin vs Lipno Stęszew is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bałtyk Koszalin and Lipno Stęszew

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