Oborishte vs Belasitsa: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Orcho voyvoda, Panagyurishte
The Footlab model makes Oborishte the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Belasitsa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oborishte vs Belasitsa?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Oborishte (1,530) and Belasitsa (1,483).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oborishte have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Belasitsa have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 4-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Germaneya(home) | 5-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 4-5 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Belasica(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oborishte win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Belasitsa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2022 | Belasitsa 5-0 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Oborishte 2-1 Belasitsa | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 21, 2021 | Belasitsa 3-2 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Oborishte 0-1 Belasitsa | Third League - Southwest |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Oborishte 3-2 Belasitsa | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 3, 2019 | Belasitsa 0-0 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Belasitsa vs Oborishte on Mar 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Oborishte score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Belasitsa score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oborishte | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Belasitsa | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oborishte sit 3rd in Third League - Southwest (8 points from 4 matches) and Belasitsa sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oborishte | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | Belasitsa | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oborishte vs Belasitsa?
- The Footlab model makes Oborishte the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Belasitsa.
- Where and when is Oborishte vs Belasitsa played?
- Oborishte vs Belasitsa is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Orcho voyvoda, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Strumska SlavavsBansko
- Sep 12, 2026Botev IhtimanvsNatsional Sofia
- Sep 12, 2026KyustendilvsPirin Razlog
- Sep 12, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsFK Minyor Pernik
- Sep 12, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsKostinbrod
- Sep 12, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsBalkan Botevgrad
- Sep 12, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsCSKA Sofia III
- Sep 12, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsChavdar Etropole