Strumska Slava vs Bansko: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Radomir
The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Bansko. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Strumska Slava vs Bansko?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Strumska Slava (1,563) and Bansko (1,491).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strumska Slava have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Bansko have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 2-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Strumska Slava win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Bansko win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Strumska Slava 2-1 Bansko | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Bansko 1-2 Strumska Slava | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Strumska Slava vs Bansko on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Strumska Slava score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bansko score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strumska Slava | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Bansko | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Strumska Slava sit 2nd in Third League - Southwest (10 points from 4 matches) and Bansko sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bansko | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Strumska Slava vs Bansko?
- The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Bansko.
- Where and when is Strumska Slava vs Bansko played?
- Strumska Slava vs Bansko is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026OborishtevsBelasitsa
- Sep 12, 2026Botev IhtimanvsNatsional Sofia
- Sep 12, 2026KyustendilvsPirin Razlog
- Sep 12, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsFK Minyor Pernik
- Sep 12, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsKostinbrod
- Sep 12, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsBalkan Botevgrad
- Sep 12, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsCSKA Sofia III
- Sep 12, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsChavdar Etropole