Barnet vs Swindon Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Hive Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes Barnet the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Swindon Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barnet wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barnet vs Swindon Town?
Barnet starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,965 vs 1,821).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barnet vs Swindon Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barnet
4-2-3-1- 20K. Tshimanga
- 7T. Knowles
- 11I. Kanu
- 8C. Lakin
- 22O. Gallagher
- 14B. Comley
- 6Z. Williams
- 5A. Senior
- 4D. Collinge
- 3R. Crichlow-Noble
- 13M. Cox
Swindon Town
4-3-3- 23A. Drinan
- 34B. Kirkman
- 29A. Hackford
- 27A. Munda
- 25J. Thomson
- 8O. Clarke
- 5S. Negru
- 6J. Ball
- 21K. Majekodunmi
- 26D. Butler
- 1C. Ripley
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnet have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Swindon Town have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Crystal Palace U21(home) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Barnet wins, 0 draws, 4 Swindon Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | Barnet 1-2 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Swindon Town 0-2 Barnet | League Two |
| Jan 1, 2018 | Barnet 1-2 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Sep 2, 2017 | Swindon Town 1-4 Barnet | League Two |
| Apr 3, 2012 | Barnet 0-2 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Feb 7, 2012 | Swindon Town 1-0 Barnet | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Barnet vs Swindon Town on Feb 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barnet score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnet | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Swindon Town | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barnet sit 2nd in League Two (15 points from 7 matches) and Swindon Town sit 13th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 15 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 11 |
A question about Barnet vs Swindon Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barnet vs Swindon Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barnet the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Swindon Town.
- Where and when is Barnet vs Swindon Town played?
- Barnet vs Swindon Town is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Hive Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.