Match

Basford United vs Bedworth United: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Greenwich Avenue, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire

Basford UnitedBedworth United

The Footlab model makes Basford United the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Bedworth United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Basford United vs Bedworth United?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Basford United (1,684) and Bedworth United (1,657).

Basford United win46 %
Draw27 %
Bedworth United win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basford United have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Bedworth United have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Basford United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Heaton Stannington(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Ilkeston Town(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Gainsborough Trinity(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Long Eaton United(away)0-2Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 18, 2026Rugby Borough(home)2-1Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Bedworth United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Mickleover Sports(home)2-2Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 18, 2026Rugby Town(away)1-1Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 11, 2026Lichfield City(away)3-1Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 6, 2026St Neots Town(home)1-1Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Apr 4, 2026Bourne Town(away)1-1Non League Div One - Northern Midlands

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Basford United win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bedworth United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 10, 2026Basford United 0-1 Bedworth UnitedNon League Div One - Northern Midlands
Sep 16, 2025Bedworth United 0-1 Basford UnitedNon League Div One - Northern Midlands

Last archived meeting: Basford United vs Bedworth United on Feb 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Basford United score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bedworth United score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Basford United1.11.7111/159/15
Bedworth United1.40.868/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Basford United vs Bedworth United?
The Footlab model makes Basford United the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Bedworth United.
Where and when is Basford United vs Bedworth United played?
Basford United vs Bedworth United is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Greenwich Avenue, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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