Basford United vs Bedworth United: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Greenwich Avenue, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Basford United the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Bedworth United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basford United vs Bedworth United?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Basford United (1,684) and Bedworth United (1,657).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basford United have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Bedworth United have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heaton Stannington(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Long Eaton United(away) | 0-2 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rugby Borough(home) | 2-1 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Mickleover Sports(home) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rugby Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lichfield City(away) | 3-1 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 6, 2026 | St Neots Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Bourne Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Basford United win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bedworth United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Basford United 0-1 Bedworth United | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Bedworth United 0-1 Basford United | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
Last archived meeting: Basford United vs Bedworth United on Feb 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Basford United score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bedworth United score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basford United | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Bedworth United | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basford United vs Bedworth United?
- The Footlab model makes Basford United the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Bedworth United.
- Where and when is Basford United vs Bedworth United played?
- Basford United vs Bedworth United is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Greenwich Avenue, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Prescot CablesvsVauxhall Motors
- Aug 28, 2026Potters Bar TownvsBarton Rovers
- Aug 28, 2026AFC PortchestervsWhitstable Town
- Aug 28, 2026Ascot UnitedvsMargate
- Aug 28, 2026Garforth TownvsBridlington Town
- Aug 28, 2026Steyning TownvsMoneyfields
- Aug 28, 2026Littlehampton TownvsRaynes Park Vale
- Aug 28, 2026Aylesbury UnitedvsSittingbourne