Where and when is Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Köln played?

Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Köln is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BayArena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Köln: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)BayArena, Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

1. FC Köln

The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Köln?

Bayer Leverkusen starts as the favourite with a 235-point Elo edge (2,284 vs 2,049).

Bayer Leverkusen win60 %

Draw20 %

1. FC Köln win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayer Leverkusen have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; 1. FC Köln have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayer Leverkusen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SV Wehen(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Newcastle(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026	Nottingham Forest(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Sevilla(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

1. FC Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Real Sociedad(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-5	Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Bayer Leverkusen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 1. FC Köln win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	1. FC Köln 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
Dec 13, 2025	Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Feb 5, 2025	Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 1. FC Köln	DFB Pokal
Mar 3, 2024	1. FC Köln 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
Oct 8, 2023	Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
May 5, 2023	Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bayer Leverkusen score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bayer Leverkusen	2.4	1.0	5	9/15	12/15
1. FC Köln	2.0	1.9	1	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th in Bundesliga (59 points from 34 matches) and 1. FC Köln sit 14th (32 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	17	8	9	68	47	59
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Köln?: The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for 1. FC Köln.
Where and when is Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Köln played?: Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Köln is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BayArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.