Where and when is FC Schalke 04 vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?

FC Schalke 04 vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Arena AufSchalke, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Schalke 04 vs 1899 Hoffenheim: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Arena AufSchalke, Gelsenkirchen

FC Schalke 04

1899 Hoffenheim

The Footlab model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for FC Schalke 04. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

1899 Hoffenheim starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (2,163 vs 2,047).

FC Schalke 04 win32 %

Draw24 %

1899 Hoffenheim win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Schalke 04 have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; 1899 Hoffenheim have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Schalke 04
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Hallescher FC(away)	5-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Real Madrid(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Atalanta(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Hessen Kassel(away)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

1899 Hoffenheim
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Tottenham(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Karlsruher SC(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Holstein Kiel(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	SGV Freiberg(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Schalke 04 win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 1899 Hoffenheim win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 9, 2023	1899 Hoffenheim 2-0 FC Schalke 04	Bundesliga
Oct 18, 2022	1899 Hoffenheim 5-1 FC Schalke 04	DFB Pokal
Oct 14, 2022	FC Schalke 04 0-3 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
May 8, 2021	1899 Hoffenheim 4-2 FC Schalke 04	Bundesliga
Jan 9, 2021	FC Schalke 04 4-0 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Mar 7, 2020	FC Schalke 04 1-1 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04 on Apr 9, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

FC Schalke 04 score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; 1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Schalke 04	2.1	1.3	5	7/15	11/15
1899 Hoffenheim	1.9	1.9	4	8/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	1899 Hoffenheim	34	18	7	9	65	52	61

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Schalke 04 vs 1899 Hoffenheim?: The Footlab model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for FC Schalke 04.
Where and when is FC Schalke 04 vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?: FC Schalke 04 vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Arena AufSchalke, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.