Match

Union Berlin vs SC Freiburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin

Union BerlinSC Freiburg

The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1. If SC Freiburg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,796 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union Berlin vs SC Freiburg?

SC Freiburg starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (2,263 vs 2,063).

29%24%47%
Union Berlin winDrawSC Freiburg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Union Berlin vs SC Freiburg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Union Berlin

4-2-3-1
  1. 6A. Kemlein
  1. 8R. Khedira
  2. 20M. Aebischer
  3. 13A. Schäfer
  4. 30K. Imeri
  5. 11Jeong Woo-Yeong
  1. 15T. Rothe
  2. 2F. Uduokhai
  3. 19J. Haberer
  4. 4Z. Van Den Bosch
  1. 1F. Rønnow

SC Freiburg

4-2-3-1
  1. 31I. Matanović
  1. 8M. Eggestein
  2. 19J. Beste
  3. 16Y. Engelhardt
  4. 7D. Scherhant
  5. 14Y. Suzuki
  1. 28M. Ginter
  2. 3P. Lienhart
  3. 33J. Makengo
  4. 29P. Treu
  1. 1M. Backhaus

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:38 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Berlin have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; SC Freiburg have 12, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)0-0Bundesliga
Oct 10, 2026SV Elversberg(home)1-0Bundesliga
Sep 18, 2026Bayern München(away)0-7Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)1-3Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-4Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)1-2Bundesliga
Oct 15, 2026FK Jablonec(home)3-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 11, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026FC Luzern(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(away)2-2Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Union Berlin wins, 3 draws, 0 SC Freiburg wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2026SC Freiburg 0-1 Union BerlinBundesliga
Nov 1, 2025Union Berlin 0-0 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Mar 30, 2025SC Freiburg 1-2 Union BerlinBundesliga
Nov 8, 2024Union Berlin 0-0 SC FreiburgBundesliga
May 18, 2024Union Berlin 2-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Jan 13, 2024SC Freiburg 0-0 Union BerlinBundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Union Berlin score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freiburg score 2.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Union Berlin1.32.3210/1510/15
SC Freiburg2.81.1410/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Union Berlin sit 17th in Bundesliga (5 points from 6 matches) and SC Freiburg sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3SC Freiburg641115613
17Union Berlin61235175

A question about Union Berlin vs SC Freiburg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union Berlin vs SC Freiburg?
The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Union Berlin.
Where and when is Union Berlin vs SC Freiburg played?
Union Berlin vs SC Freiburg is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Union Berlin and SC Freiburg

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