FC Augsburg vs RB Leipzig: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg
The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If RB Leipzig wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Augsburg vs RB Leipzig?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate FC Augsburg (2,119) and RB Leipzig (2,219).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Augsburg vs RB Leipzig
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Augsburg
3-4-2-1- 9Rodrigo Ribeiro
- 16Hennes Behrens
- 4H. Massengo
- 19R. Fellhauer
- 32F. Rieder
- 21A. Ibrahimović
- 27M. Wolf
- 2C. Brackelmann
- 5C. Matsima
- 35Abdulay Bah
- 1F. Dahmen
RB Leipzig
4-2-3-1- 40Rômulo
- 7A. Nusa
- 6E. Banzuzi
- 21N. El Aynaoui
- 28C. Nkunku
- 10B. Gruda
- 4W. Orbán
- 22D. Raum
- 17R. Baku
- 23C. Lukeba
- 26M. Vandevoordt
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; RB Leipzig have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Werder Bremen(away) | 2-3 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(away) | 4-1 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 6-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Hamburger SV(home) | 5-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Como(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC Augsburg wins, 2 draws, 4 RB Leipzig wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | RB Leipzig 2-1 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | FC Augsburg 0-6 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| Feb 14, 2025 | FC Augsburg 0-0 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| Sep 28, 2024 | RB Leipzig 4-0 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Feb 10, 2024 | FC Augsburg 2-2 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| Sep 16, 2023 | RB Leipzig 3-0 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Augsburg score 2.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Augsburg | 2.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| RB Leipzig | 2.2 | 1.5 | 7 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Augsburg sit 6th in Bundesliga (8 points from 5 matches) and RB Leipzig sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 8 |
A question about FC Augsburg vs RB Leipzig?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs RB Leipzig?
- The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for FC Augsburg.
- Where and when is FC Augsburg vs RB Leipzig played?
- FC Augsburg vs RB Leipzig is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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