Match

FC Augsburg vs RB Leipzig: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC AugsburgRB Leipzig

The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Augsburg vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (2,211 vs 2,073).

FC Augsburg win32 %
Draw23 %
RB Leipzig win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; RB Leipzig have 10, 0 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Augsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Leeds(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Sassuolo(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Schwaz(away)15-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2026Bournemouth(home)2-5Friendlies Clubs
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Eintracht Trier(away)6-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Bayern München(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Leeds(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Verl(home)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC Augsburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 RB Leipzig win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026RB Leipzig 2-1 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Oct 25, 2025FC Augsburg 0-6 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Feb 14, 2025FC Augsburg 0-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Sep 28, 2024RB Leipzig 4-0 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Feb 10, 2024FC Augsburg 2-2 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Sep 16, 2023RB Leipzig 3-0 FC AugsburgBundesliga

Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Augsburg2.52.0210/1510/15
RB Leipzig2.21.459/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Augsburg sit 9th in Bundesliga (43 points from 34 matches) and RB Leipzig sit 3rd (65 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3RB Leipzig342059664765
9FC Augsburg3412715456143

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs RB Leipzig?
The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for FC Augsburg.
Where and when is FC Augsburg vs RB Leipzig played?
FC Augsburg vs RB Leipzig is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Augsburg and RB Leipzig

Ready to know everything about football?