Werder Bremen vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Weserstadion, Bremen
The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Werder Bremen vs VfB Stuttgart?
VfB Stuttgart starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (2,252 vs 2,041).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; VfB Stuttgart have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lüneburger SK Hansa(away) | 3-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Auxerre(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VfL Bochum(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Everton(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 8-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Werder Bremen win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 VfB Stuttgart win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Werder Bremen 0-4 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Apr 13, 2025 | VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Werder Bremen 2-2 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Werder Bremen 2-1 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Dec 2, 2023 | VfB Stuttgart 2-0 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Werder Bremen score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Stuttgart score 3.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 3.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Werder Bremen sit 15th in Bundesliga (32 points from 34 matches) and VfB Stuttgart sit 4th (62 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 62 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs VfB Stuttgart?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Werder Bremen.
- Where and when is Werder Bremen vs VfB Stuttgart played?
- Werder Bremen vs VfB Stuttgart is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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