Match

Bayern München vs FC Augsburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Allianz Arena, München

Bayern MünchenFC Augsburg

The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 78%, against 12% for a draw and 9% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 3-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayern München vs FC Augsburg?

Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,524 Elo points against 2,070, a 454-point gap.

Bayern München win78 %
Draw12 %
FC Augsburg win9 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayern München have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; FC Augsburg have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayern München
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)2-1Super Cup
Aug 18, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026RB Leipzig(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 7, 2026Aston Villa(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026Jeju United FC(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
FC Augsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Leeds(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Sassuolo(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Schwaz(away)15-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2026Bournemouth(home)2-5Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Bayern München win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 FC Augsburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2026Bayern München 1-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Aug 30, 2025FC Augsburg 2-3 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Apr 4, 2025FC Augsburg 1-3 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Nov 22, 2024Bayern München 3-0 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Jan 27, 2024FC Augsburg 2-3 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Aug 27, 2023Bayern München 3-1 FC AugsburgBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayern München vs FC Augsburg on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bayern München score 2.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 85% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bayern München2.71.5312/1512/15
FC Augsburg2.52.0210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bayern München sit 1st in Bundesliga (89 points from 34 matches) and FC Augsburg sit 9th (43 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Bayern München3428511223689
9FC Augsburg3412715456143

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayern München vs FC Augsburg?
The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 78%, against 12% for a draw and 9% for FC Augsburg.
Where and when is Bayern München vs FC Augsburg played?
Bayern München vs FC Augsburg is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Allianz Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 85% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bayern München and FC Augsburg

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