Match

Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Weserstadion, Bremen

Werder BremenBorussia Dortmund

The Footlab AI model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Borussia Dortmund wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,547 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund?

Borussia Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 232-point Elo edge (2,328 vs 2,097).

34%24%42%
Werder Bremen winDrawBorussia Dortmund win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Werder Bremen

4-2-3-1
  1. 10N. Füllkrug
  1. 17M. Grüll
  2. 20Chuky San José
  3. 44Y. Regeer
  4. 15L. Reis
  5. 8M. Weiser
  1. 5A. Pieper
  2. 32M. Friedl
  3. 13Arthur
  4. 2O. Deman
  1. 1K. Hein

Borussia Dortmund

3-4-2-1
  1. 9S. Guirassy
  1. 8F. Nmecha
  2. 24D. Svensson
  3. 25J. Veerman
  4. 7J. Bellingham
  5. 26J. Ryerson
  6. 14M. Beier
  1. 3W. Anton
  2. 4N. Schlotterbeck
  3. 22Kouakou Joane Gadou
  1. 1G. Kobel

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 07:45 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Borussia Dortmund have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Werder Bremen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)2-0Bundesliga
Oct 27, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)2-3DFB Pokal
Oct 24, 2026FSV Mainz 05(away)3-2Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)2-2Bundesliga
Oct 9, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)2-2Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2026Real Betis(home)2-1UEFA Champions League
Oct 31, 2026Bayern München(away)2-2Bundesliga
Oct 27, 2026Werder Bremen(home)3-2DFB Pokal
Oct 24, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)1-0Bundesliga
Oct 20, 2026Sabah FA(away)2-1UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Werder Bremen wins, 3 draws, 3 Borussia Dortmund wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 27, 2026Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Werder BremenDFB Pokal
Oct 9, 2026Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Werder BremenBundesliga
May 16, 2026Werder Bremen 0-2 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
Jan 13, 2026Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Werder BremenBundesliga
Jan 25, 2025Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Werder BremenBundesliga
Aug 31, 2024Werder Bremen 0-0 Borussia DortmundBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen on Oct 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Werder Bremen score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund score 2.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Werder Bremen2.11.5410/1510/15
Borussia Dortmund2.01.068/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Werder Bremen sit 5th in Bundesliga (15 points from 8 matches) and Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd (18 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Borussia Dortmund853014618
5Werder Bremen8431171415

A question about Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund?
The Footlab AI model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund played?
Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Werder Bremen and Borussia Dortmund

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