Match

FC Schalke 04 vs SC Freiburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Arena AufSchalke, Gelsenkirchen

FC Schalke 04SC Freiburg

The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for FC Schalke 04. The most likely score is 1-1. If SC Freiburg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,250 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs SC Freiburg?

SC Freiburg starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (2,227 vs 2,029).

29%24%47%
FC Schalke 04 winDrawSC Freiburg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Schalke 04 vs SC Freiburg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Schalke 04

5-3-2
  1. 7Hwang Hee-Chan
  2. 19K. Karaman
  1. 13S. Tanaka
  2. 24A. Aouchiche
  3. 23S. El-Faouzi
  1. 4H. Kuruçay
  2. 25N. Katić
  3. 43M. Ayhan
  4. 8R. Gosens
  5. 5T. Becker
  1. 1L. Karius

SC Freiburg

4-2-3-1
  1. 31I. Matanovic
  1. 8M. Eggestein
  2. 16Y. Engelhardt
  3. 14Y. Suzuki
  4. 19J. Beste
  5. 7D. Scherhant
  1. 28M. Ginter
  2. 33J. Makengo
  3. 3P. Lienhart
  4. 29P. Treu
  1. 1M. Backhaus

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 11:37 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Schalke 04 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; SC Freiburg have 11, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Schalke 04
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)1-2Bundesliga
Oct 31, 2026RB Leipzig(home)0-2Bundesliga
Oct 28, 2026Dynamo Dresden(away)0-2DFB Pokal
Oct 24, 20261. FC Köln(away)0-0Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026FSV Mainz 05(home)0-1Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Union Berlin(home)2-0Bundesliga
Nov 5, 2026Trabzonspor(away)1-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 31, 2026FC Augsburg(away)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 28, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(home)3-2DFB Pokal
Oct 25, 2026Bayern München(home)1-3Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC Schalke 04 wins, 0 draws, 6 SC Freiburg wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026SC Freiburg 2-1 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
Apr 23, 2023SC Freiburg 4-0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
Oct 30, 2022FC Schalke 04 0-2 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Apr 17, 2021SC Freiburg 4-0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
Dec 16, 2020FC Schalke 04 0-2 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Jun 27, 2020SC Freiburg 4-0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 on Oct 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Schalke 04 score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freiburg score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Schalke 041.11.454/158/15
SC Freiburg2.31.3410/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Schalke 04 sit 17th in Bundesliga (6 points from 9 matches) and SC Freiburg sit 3rd (19 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3SC Freiburg9612201019
17FC Schalke 0491355116

A question about FC Schalke 04 vs SC Freiburg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Schalke 04 vs SC Freiburg?
The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for FC Schalke 04.
Where and when is FC Schalke 04 vs SC Freiburg played?
FC Schalke 04 vs SC Freiburg is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Arena AufSchalke, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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