Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1. FC Köln: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach
The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1. FC Köln?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,110) and 1. FC Köln (2,038).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; 1. FC Köln have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schott Mainz(away) | 5-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(away) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bayern München(away) | 1-5 | Bundesliga |
| May 10, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(home) | 1-3 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 1. FC Köln win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1. FC Köln 3-3 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-3 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 1. FC Köln 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1. FC Köln 0-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 5-2 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| 1. FC Köln | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th in Bundesliga (38 points from 34 matches) and 1. FC Köln sit 14th (32 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1. FC Köln?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for 1. FC Köln.
- Where and when is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1. FC Köln played?
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1. FC Köln is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BORUSSIA-PARK, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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