Match

Bayern München vs SV Elversberg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Allianz Arena, München

Bayern MünchenSV Elversberg

The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for SV Elversberg. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayern München vs SV Elversberg?

Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,524 Elo points against 2,096 — a 429-point gap.

Bayern München win74 %
Draw16 %
SV Elversberg win10 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayern München have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; SV Elversberg have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayern München
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)2-1Super Cup
Aug 18, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026RB Leipzig(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 7, 2026Aston Villa(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026Jeju United FC(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
SV Elversberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026MSV Duisburg(away)3-1DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Lorient(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Mallorca(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026Strasbourg(away)5-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026NEC Nijmegen(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Bayern München score 2.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SV Elversberg score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bayern München2.71.5312/1512/15
SV Elversberg2.51.2411/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Bayern München3428511223689

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayern München vs SV Elversberg?
The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for SV Elversberg.
Where and when is Bayern München vs SV Elversberg played?
Bayern München vs SV Elversberg is played on February 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Allianz Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bayern München and SV Elversberg

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