Match

Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)BayArena, Leverkusen

Bayer LeverkusenFC Augsburg

The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg?

Bayer Leverkusen starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (2,284 vs 2,071).

Bayer Leverkusen win65 %
Draw18 %
FC Augsburg win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayer Leverkusen have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; FC Augsburg have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayer Leverkusen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SV Wehen(away)4-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Newcastle(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026Nottingham Forest(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Sevilla(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
FC Augsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Leeds(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Sassuolo(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Schwaz(away)15-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2026Bournemouth(home)2-5Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bayer Leverkusen win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 FC Augsburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Dec 6, 2025FC Augsburg 2-0 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Apr 26, 2025Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Dec 14, 2024FC Augsburg 0-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
May 18, 2024Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Jan 13, 2024FC Augsburg 0-1 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bayer Leverkusen score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bayer Leverkusen2.41.059/1512/15
FC Augsburg2.52.0210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th in Bundesliga (59 points from 34 matches) and FC Augsburg sit 9th (43 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Bayer Leverkusen341789684759
9FC Augsburg3412715456143

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg?
The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for FC Augsburg.
Where and when is Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg played?
Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg is played on February 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BayArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bayer Leverkusen and FC Augsburg

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