Match

FC Schalke 04 vs Union Berlin: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Arena AufSchalke, Gelsenkirchen

FC Schalke 04Union Berlin

The Footlab AI model makes FC Schalke 04 the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Schalke 04 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.4% of the 3,641 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs Union Berlin?

On Elo ratings, FC Schalke 04 has 2,076 points and Union Berlin 2,041.

52%23%25%
FC Schalke 04 winDrawUnion Berlin win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Schalke 04 vs Union Berlin

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Schalke 04

3-4-2-1
  1. 7Hwang Hee-Chan
  1. 8R. Gosens
  2. 23S. El-Faouzi
  3. 13S. Tanaka
  4. 24A. Aouchiche
  5. 20J. Adamu
  6. 19K. Karaman
  1. 4H. Kuruçay
  2. 25N. Katić
  3. 5T. Becker
  1. 1L. Karius

Union Berlin

4-2-3-1
  1. 21T. Skarke
  1. 8R. Khedira
  2. 20M. Aebischer
  3. 11Jeong Woo-Yeong
  4. 13A. Schäfer
  5. 9Livan Burcu
  1. 15T. Rothe
  2. 2F. Uduokhai
  3. 19J. Haberer
  4. 4Z. Van Den Bosch
  1. 1F. Rønnow

Computed on October 26, 2026 at 10:12 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Schalke 04 have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Union Berlin have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Schalke 04
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 20261. FC Köln(away)0-0Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026FSV Mainz 05(home)0-1Bundesliga
Oct 11, 2026SC Freiburg(away)1-2Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Austria Lustenau(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026SV Elversberg(home)0-0Bundesliga
Union Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026FC Augsburg(away)1-1Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)0-0Bundesliga
Oct 10, 2026SV Elversberg(home)1-0Bundesliga
Sep 18, 2026Bayern München(away)0-7Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)1-3Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Schalke 04 win, 4 draws, 1 Union Berlin win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 11, 2026Union Berlin 1-3 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
Feb 19, 2023Union Berlin 0-0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
Aug 27, 2022FC Schalke 04 1-6 Union BerlinBundesliga
Feb 13, 2021Union Berlin 0-0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
Oct 18, 2020FC Schalke 04 1-1 Union BerlinBundesliga
Jun 7, 2020Union Berlin 1-1 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 on Sep 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Schalke 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Union Berlin score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Schalke 041.61.265/159/15
Union Berlin1.32.3210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Schalke 04 sit 16th in Bundesliga (6 points from 7 matches) and Union Berlin sit 17th (6 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16FC Schalke 047133476
17Union Berlin71336186

A question about FC Schalke 04 vs Union Berlin?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Schalke 04 vs Union Berlin?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Schalke 04 the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Union Berlin.
Where and when is FC Schalke 04 vs Union Berlin played?
FC Schalke 04 vs Union Berlin is played on February 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Arena AufSchalke, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Schalke 04 and Union Berlin

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