Match

Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Hamburger SVRB Leipzig

The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Hamburger SV. The most likely score is 1-1. If RB Leipzig wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (2,220 vs 2,081).

28%23%49%
Hamburger SV winDrawRB Leipzig win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Hamburger SV

3-4-2-1
  1. 15Y. Poulsen
  1. 21N. Remberg
  2. 6A. Sambi Lokonga
  3. 3D. Møller Wolfe
  4. 20Fábio Vieira
  5. 5M. Adeline
  6. 37L. Lemke
  1. 24N. Capaldo
  2. 33S. Bornauw
  3. 17W. Omari
  1. 1Daniel Heuer Fernandes

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
  1. 40Rômulo
  1. 7A. Nusa
  2. 6E. Banzuzi
  3. 21N. El Aynaoui
  4. 28C. Nkunku
  5. 10B. Gruda
  1. 4W. Orbán
  2. 22D. Raum
  3. 17R. Baku
  4. 23C. Lukeba
  1. 26M. Vandevoordt

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:32 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamburger SV have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; RB Leipzig have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)3-2Bundesliga
Oct 4, 2026FC Copenhagen(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 20261. FC Köln(home)2-1Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-5Bundesliga
Sep 6, 2026FSV Mainz 05(home)0-5Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026PSV Eindhoven(home)1-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)6-0Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-2Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026Hamburger SV(home)5-0Bundesliga
Sep 10, 2026Como(away)1-4UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hamburger SV wins, 1 draw, 5 RB Leipzig wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 13, 2026RB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
Mar 1, 2026Hamburger SV 1-2 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Oct 18, 2025RB Leipzig 2-1 Hamburger SVBundesliga
Oct 18, 2022RB Leipzig 4-0 Hamburger SVDFB Pokal
Apr 23, 2019Hamburger SV 1-3 RB LeipzigDFB Pokal
Jan 27, 2018RB Leipzig 1-1 Hamburger SVBundesliga

Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV on Sep 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hamburger SV score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hamburger SV1.61.9210/1512/15
RB Leipzig2.21.576/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hamburger SV sit 12th in Bundesliga (6 points from 5 matches) and RB Leipzig sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5RB Leipzig53021559
12Hamburger SV52035156

A question about Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig?
The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Hamburger SV.
Where and when is Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig played?
Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig is played on February 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Volksparkstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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