Beaconsfield Town vs Sheppey United: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Holloways Park, Beaconsfield, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Beaconsfield Town the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Sheppey United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beaconsfield Town vs Sheppey United?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Beaconsfield Town (1,641) and Sheppey United (1,553).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beaconsfield Town have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Sheppey United have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kingstonian(home) | 5-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ware(home) | 2-0 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Biggleswade(away) | 1-6 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Enfield 1893(away) | 3-1 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Northwood(home) | 4-4 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | AFC Croydon Athletic(away) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Crowborough Athletic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sevenoaks Town(home) | 1-6 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Faversham Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
How many goals should we expect?
Beaconsfield Town score 1.8 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sheppey United score 0.8 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beaconsfield Town | 1.8 | 2.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Sheppey United | 0.8 | 2.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beaconsfield Town vs Sheppey United?
- The Footlab model makes Beaconsfield Town the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Sheppey United.
- Where and when is Beaconsfield Town vs Sheppey United played?
- Beaconsfield Town vs Sheppey United is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Holloways Park, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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