Bideford vs Tiverton Town: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Sports Ground, Walton-on-Thames, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Bideford the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Tiverton Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bideford vs Tiverton Town?
Bideford starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,629 vs 1,497).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bideford have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Tiverton Town have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bishop's Cleeve(home) | 1-3 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Swindon Supermarine(away) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Larkhall Athletic(away) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Exmouth(home) | 1-0 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Hartpury University(away) | 1-0 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 0-6 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 0-8 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Bideford win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tiverton Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2020 | Tiverton Town 2-0 Bideford | FA Cup |
| Sep 16, 2014 | Bideford 1-0 Tiverton Town | FA Cup |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Tiverton Town 0-0 Bideford | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Tiverton Town vs Bideford on Sep 23, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Bideford score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tiverton Town score 0.6 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bideford | 1.6 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Tiverton Town | 0.6 | 3.1 | 2 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bideford vs Tiverton Town?
- The Footlab model makes Bideford the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Tiverton Town.
- Where and when is Bideford vs Tiverton Town played?
- Bideford vs Tiverton Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Sports Ground, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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