Match

Bideford vs Tiverton Town: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Sports Ground, Walton-on-Thames, Surrey

BidefordTiverton Town

The Footlab model makes Bideford the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Tiverton Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bideford vs Tiverton Town?

Bideford starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,629 vs 1,497).

Bideford win59 %
Draw22 %
Tiverton Town win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bideford have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Tiverton Town have 1, 1 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bideford
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Bishop's Cleeve(home)1-3Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 18, 2026Swindon Supermarine(away)2-2Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 11, 2026Larkhall Athletic(away)1-1Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 6, 2026Exmouth(home)1-0Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 3, 2026Hartpury University(away)1-0Non League Div One - Southern South
Tiverton Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Farnham Town(home)0-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 21, 2026Gosport Borough(home)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 18, 2026Basingstoke Town(away)1-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 14, 2026Wimborne Town(home)0-6Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 11, 2026Bracknell Town(away)0-8Non League Premier - Southern South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Bideford win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tiverton Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 23, 2020Tiverton Town 2-0 BidefordFA Cup
Sep 16, 2014Bideford 1-0 Tiverton TownFA Cup
Sep 13, 2014Tiverton Town 0-0 BidefordFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Tiverton Town vs Bideford on Sep 23, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Bideford score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tiverton Town score 0.6 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bideford1.61.949/1510/15
Tiverton Town0.63.125/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bideford vs Tiverton Town?
The Footlab model makes Bideford the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Tiverton Town.
Where and when is Bideford vs Tiverton Town played?
Bideford vs Tiverton Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Sports Ground, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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