Binfield vs Deal Town: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Iconic Stadium, Binfield
The Footlab model makes Deal Town the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Binfield. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Binfield vs Deal Town?
Deal Town starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,742 vs 1,603).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Binfield have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Deal Town have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bognor Regis Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kingstonian(home) | 0-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 11, 2026 | South Park(home) | 3-0 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Bedfont Sports(away) | 2-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Southall(home) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Beckenham Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Jersey Bulls(home) | 0-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Crowborough Athletic(away) | 4-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Apr 6, 2026 | VCD Athletic(home) | 0-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
How many goals should we expect?
Binfield score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Deal Town score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Binfield | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Deal Town | 2.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Binfield vs Deal Town?
- The Footlab model makes Deal Town the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Binfield.
- Where and when is Binfield vs Deal Town played?
- Binfield vs Deal Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Iconic Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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