Match

Bishop's Cleeve vs Bristol Manor Farm: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kayte Lane, Bishop's Cleeve, Gloucestershire

Bishop's CleeveBristol Manor Farm

The Footlab model makes Bishop's Cleeve the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Bristol Manor Farm. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bishop's Cleeve vs Bristol Manor Farm?

Bishop's Cleeve starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,774 vs 1,597).

Bishop's Cleeve win64 %
Draw21 %
Bristol Manor Farm win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bishop's Cleeve have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Bristol Manor Farm have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bishop's Cleeve
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Evesham United(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2026Hereford(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026Forest Green(home)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Bideford(away)3-1Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 18, 2026Falmouth Town(away)0-3Non League Div One - Southern South
Bristol Manor Farm
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 4, 2026Newport County(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Winchester City(away)0-3Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 18, 2026Brixham(home)1-1Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 11, 2026Westbury United(away)2-2Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 6, 2026Larkhall Athletic(home)2-0Non League Div One - Southern South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bishop's Cleeve win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Bristol Manor Farm win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Bristol Manor Farm 1-1 Bishop's CleeveNon League Div One - Southern South
Nov 1, 2025Bishop's Cleeve 3-1 Bristol Manor FarmNon League Div One - Southern South
Jan 11, 2025Bishop's Cleeve 3-3 Bristol Manor FarmNon League Div One - Southern South
Nov 19, 2024Bristol Manor Farm 0-2 Bishop's CleeveNon League Div One - Southern South
Feb 9, 2024Bishop's Cleeve 0-2 Bristol Manor FarmNon League Div One - Southern South
Nov 3, 2023Bristol Manor Farm 1-1 Bishop's CleeveNon League Div One - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Bristol Manor Farm vs Bishop's Cleeve on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bishop's Cleeve score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol Manor Farm score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bishop's Cleeve1.51.349/158/15
Bristol Manor Farm1.11.839/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bishop's Cleeve vs Bristol Manor Farm?
The Footlab model makes Bishop's Cleeve the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Bristol Manor Farm.
Where and when is Bishop's Cleeve vs Bristol Manor Farm played?
Bishop's Cleeve vs Bristol Manor Farm is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kayte Lane, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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