Bishop's Cleeve vs Bristol Manor Farm: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kayte Lane, Bishop's Cleeve, Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Bishop's Cleeve the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Bristol Manor Farm. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bishop's Cleeve vs Bristol Manor Farm?
Bishop's Cleeve starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,774 vs 1,597).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bishop's Cleeve have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Bristol Manor Farm have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bideford(away) | 3-1 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Falmouth Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Winchester City(away) | 0-3 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Brixham(home) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Westbury United(away) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Larkhall Athletic(home) | 2-0 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bishop's Cleeve win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Bristol Manor Farm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Bristol Manor Farm 1-1 Bishop's Cleeve | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Bishop's Cleeve 3-1 Bristol Manor Farm | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Bishop's Cleeve 3-3 Bristol Manor Farm | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Bristol Manor Farm 0-2 Bishop's Cleeve | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Feb 9, 2024 | Bishop's Cleeve 0-2 Bristol Manor Farm | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Nov 3, 2023 | Bristol Manor Farm 1-1 Bishop's Cleeve | Non League Div One - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Bristol Manor Farm vs Bishop's Cleeve on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bishop's Cleeve score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol Manor Farm score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop's Cleeve | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Bristol Manor Farm | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bishop's Cleeve vs Bristol Manor Farm?
- The Footlab model makes Bishop's Cleeve the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Bristol Manor Farm.
- Where and when is Bishop's Cleeve vs Bristol Manor Farm played?
- Bishop's Cleeve vs Bristol Manor Farm is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kayte Lane, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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