Biwako Shiga vs Osaka: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nunobiki Higashiomi Stadium, Higashiomi
The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Biwako Shiga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Biwako Shiga vs Osaka?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Biwako Shiga (1,711) and Osaka (1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Biwako Shiga have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Osaka have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(away) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Japan Soccer College(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-3 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Tochigi City(away) | 1-3 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 4-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 4-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Biwako Shiga win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Osaka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Osaka 0-1 Biwako Shiga | J2/J3 League |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Osaka 1-1 Biwako Shiga | Japan Football League |
| Jun 26, 2022 | Biwako Shiga 0-4 Osaka | Japan Football League |
| Sep 28, 2021 | Biwako Shiga 3-1 Osaka | Japan Football League |
| May 5, 2021 | Osaka 0-2 Biwako Shiga | Japan Football League |
| Aug 23, 2020 | Osaka 1-0 Biwako Shiga | Japan Football League |
Last archived meeting: Osaka vs Biwako Shiga on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Biwako Shiga score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Osaka score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biwako Shiga | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Osaka | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Biwako Shiga sit 6th in J3 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Osaka sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Biwako Shiga | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 7 | Osaka | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Biwako Shiga vs Osaka?
- The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Biwako Shiga.
- Where and when is Biwako Shiga vs Osaka played?
- Biwako Shiga vs Osaka is played on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nunobiki Higashiomi Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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