Where and when is Blyth Spartans vs 1874 Northwich played?

Blyth Spartans vs 1874 Northwich is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Croft Park, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Blyth Spartans vs 1874 Northwich: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Croft Park, Blyth, Northumberland

Blyth Spartans

1874 Northwich

The Footlab model makes Blyth Spartans the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for 1874 Northwich. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Blyth Spartans vs 1874 Northwich?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Blyth Spartans (1,563) and 1874 Northwich (1,488).

Blyth Spartans win51 %

Draw24 %

1874 Northwich win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blyth Spartans have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; 1874 Northwich have 3, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Blyth Spartans
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Hebburn Town(home)	2-4	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Bishop Auckland(away)	3-2	Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 18, 2026	Bridlington Town(home)	0-1	Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 11, 2026	Garforth Town(home)	0-0	Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 6, 2026	Blyth Town(away)	0-2	Non League Div One - Northern East

1874 Northwich
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2025	Bootle(away)	0-4	FA Cup
Sep 14, 2024	Guiseley AFC(away)	0-3	FA Cup
Aug 31, 2024	Stocksbridge Park Steels(home)	3-2	FA Cup
Aug 17, 2024	Longridge Town(away)	3-1	FA Cup
Aug 3, 2024	Stockport Town(away)	2-1	FA Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Blyth Spartans score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; 1874 Northwich score 0.8 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Blyth Spartans	1.1	0.9	7	4/15	4/15
1874 Northwich	0.8	2.4	0	6/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Blyth Spartans vs 1874 Northwich?: The Footlab model makes Blyth Spartans the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for 1874 Northwich.
Where and when is Blyth Spartans vs 1874 Northwich played?: Blyth Spartans vs 1874 Northwich is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Croft Park, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.