Where and when is Bognor Regis Town vs South Park played?

Bognor Regis Town vs South Park is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at MKM Arena, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bognor Regis Town vs South Park: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)MKM Arena, Bognor Regis, West Sussex

Bognor Regis Town

South Park

The Footlab model makes Bognor Regis Town the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for South Park. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bognor Regis Town vs South Park?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Bognor Regis Town (1,682) and South Park (1,649).

Bognor Regis Town win50 %

Draw28 %

South Park win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bognor Regis Town have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; South Park have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bognor Regis Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Chichester City(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Havant & Wville(away)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Sholing(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Binfield(home)	3-0	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Apr 18, 2026	Egham Town(away)	2-2	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central

South Park
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 28, 2026	Kingstonian(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Fareham Town(away)	2-2	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Apr 18, 2026	Moneyfields(home)	2-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Apr 11, 2026	Binfield(away)	0-3	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Apr 6, 2026	Egham Town(home)	0-0	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Bognor Regis Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 South Park win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	South Park 0-1 Bognor Regis Town	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Jan 10, 2026	Bognor Regis Town 1-0 South Park	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Nov 22, 2023	Bognor Regis Town 1-4 South Park	FA Trophy
Sep 22, 2020	South Park 2-2 Bognor Regis Town	FA Cup

Last archived meeting: South Park vs Bognor Regis Town on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bognor Regis Town score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; South Park score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bognor Regis Town	1.7	1.0	5	10/15	7/15
South Park	1.1	1.2	4	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bognor Regis Town vs South Park?: The Footlab model makes Bognor Regis Town the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for South Park.
Where and when is Bognor Regis Town vs South Park played?: Bognor Regis Town vs South Park is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at MKM Arena, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.