Boldmere St. Michaels vs St Ives Town: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Amber Arena and Community Stadium, Sutton Coldfield, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Boldmere St. Michaels the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for St Ives Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boldmere St. Michaels vs St Ives Town?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Boldmere St. Michaels (1,620) and St Ives Town (1,639).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boldmere St. Michaels have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; St Ives Town have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Chasetown(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Loughborough University(home) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bourne Town(away) | 3-2 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-4 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Sutton Coldfield Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Stratford Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Royston Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
How many goals should we expect?
Boldmere St. Michaels score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; St Ives Town score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boldmere St. Michaels | 1.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| St Ives Town | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boldmere St. Michaels vs St Ives Town?
- The Footlab model makes Boldmere St. Michaels the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for St Ives Town.
- Where and when is Boldmere St. Michaels vs St Ives Town played?
- Boldmere St. Michaels vs St Ives Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Amber Arena and Community Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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