Match

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach

Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Dortmund

The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?

Borussia Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (2,291 vs 2,107).

Borussia Mönchengladbach win36 %
Draw25 %
Borussia Dortmund win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Borussia Dortmund have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Borussia Mönchengladbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Schott Mainz(away)5-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Aston Villa(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026SSVg Velbert(away)8-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Hansa Rostock(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Borussia Dortmund
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bayern München(home)1-2Super Cup
Aug 15, 2026AS Roma(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026Arsenal(away)3-2Emirates Cup
Aug 1, 2026FC Tokyo(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Cerezo Osaka(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Borussia Dortmund win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-0 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
Dec 19, 2025Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Apr 20, 2025Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Dec 7, 2024Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-1 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
Apr 13, 2024Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
Nov 25, 2023Borussia Dortmund 4-2 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Borussia Mönchengladbach2.90.968/1511/15
Borussia Dortmund1.71.248/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th in Bundesliga (38 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd (73 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Borussia Dortmund342275703473
12Borussia Mönchengladbach3491114425338

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?
The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Where and when is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund played?
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BORUSSIA-PARK, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Borussia Mönchengladbach and Borussia Dortmund

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