SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg
The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for SV Elversberg. The most likely score is 1-1. If SC Freiburg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?
SC Freiburg starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (2,216 vs 2,101).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SV Elversberg
4-2-3-1- 42D. Mokwa
- 8Ł. Poręba
- 25L. Petkov
- 43F. Keidel
- 7M. Krattenmacher
- 40Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka
- 21L. Günther
- 19L. Pinckert
- 31M. Rohr
- 26L. Sirch
- 20N. Kristof
SC Freiburg
4-2-3-1- 9L. Höler
- 8M. Eggestein
- 14Y. Suzuki
- 19J. Beste
- 7D. Scherhant
- 16Y. Engelhardt
- 28M. Ginter
- 33J. Makengo
- 3P. Lienhart
- 17L. Kübler
- 1M. Backhaus
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 04:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Elversberg have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; SC Freiburg have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05(home) | 4-1 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 27, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Oct 24, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-4 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Augsburg(home) | 4-3 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Union Berlin(away) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | FC Augsburg(away) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 28, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 3-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 1-3 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 SV Elversberg wins, 1 draw, 0 SC Freiburg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2022 | SC Freiburg 0-0 SV Elversberg | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs SV Elversberg on Jul 2, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
SV Elversberg score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freiburg score 2.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Elversberg | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| SC Freiburg | 2.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Elversberg sit 7th in Bundesliga (13 points from 8 matches) and SC Freiburg sit 3rd (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 13 |
A question about SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?
- The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for SV Elversberg.
- Where and when is SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg played?
- SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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