Where and when is Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV played?

Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Weserstadion, Bremen

Werder Bremen

Hamburger SV

The Footlab model makes Werder Bremen the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Hamburger SV. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Werder Bremen (2,041) and Hamburger SV (2,057).

Werder Bremen win48 %

Draw24 %

Hamburger SV win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Hamburger SV have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Werder Bremen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)	3-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Auxerre(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	SC Paderborn 07(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Energie Cottbus(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

Hamburger SV
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Toulouse(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Lille(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Everton(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Rapid Vienna(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayer Leverkusen(away)	1-1	Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Werder Bremen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hamburger SV win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Werder Bremen 3-1 Hamburger SV	Bundesliga
Dec 7, 2025	Hamburger SV 3-2 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
Feb 27, 2022	Hamburger SV 2-3 Werder Bremen	2. Bundesliga
Sep 18, 2021	Werder Bremen 0-2 Hamburger SV	2. Bundesliga
Feb 24, 2018	Werder Bremen 1-0 Hamburger SV	Bundesliga
Sep 30, 2017	Hamburger SV 0-0 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Werder Bremen score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Werder Bremen	1.8	1.3	4	8/15	8/15
Hamburger SV	1.4	1.9	0	13/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Werder Bremen sit 15th in Bundesliga (32 points from 34 matches) and Hamburger SV sit 13th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Hamburger SV	34	9	11	14	40	54	38
15	Werder Bremen	34	8	8	18	37	60	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV?: The Footlab model makes Werder Bremen the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Hamburger SV.
Where and when is Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV played?: Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.