Match

Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Weserstadion, Bremen

Werder BremenHamburger SV

The Footlab AI model makes Werder Bremen the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Hamburger SV. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,695 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV?

On Elo ratings, Werder Bremen has 2,082 points and Hamburger SV 2,095.

57%22%21%
Werder Bremen winDrawHamburger SV win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Werder Bremen

4-2-3-1
  1. 10N. Füllkrug
  1. 15L. Reis
  2. 20Chuky San José
  3. 17M. Grüll
  4. 44Y. Regeer
  5. 18E. Dinkçi
  1. 2O. Deman
  2. 32M. Friedl
  3. 5A. Pieper
  4. 13Arthur
  1. 1K. Hein

Hamburger SV

3-4-2-1
  1. 15Y. Poulsen
  1. 3D. Møller Wolfe
  2. 20Fábio Vieira
  3. 5M. Adeline
  4. 37L. Lemke
  5. 21N. Remberg
  6. 6A. Sambi Lokonga
  1. 24N. Capaldo
  2. 33S. Bornauw
  3. 17W. Omari
  1. 1Daniel Heuer Fernandes

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:09 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hamburger SV have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Werder Bremen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)2-2Bundesliga
Oct 9, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 19, 2026FC Augsburg(home)3-2Bundesliga
Sep 12, 20261. FC Köln(away)1-1Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026RB Leipzig(home)3-1Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)1-0Bundesliga
Oct 10, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)3-2Bundesliga
Oct 4, 2026FC Copenhagen(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 20261. FC Köln(home)2-1Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-5Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Werder Bremen wins, 1 draw, 2 Hamburger SV wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Werder Bremen 3-1 Hamburger SVBundesliga
Dec 7, 2025Hamburger SV 3-2 Werder BremenBundesliga
Feb 27, 2022Hamburger SV 2-3 Werder Bremen2. Bundesliga
Sep 18, 2021Werder Bremen 0-2 Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga
Feb 24, 2018Werder Bremen 1-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
Sep 30, 2017Hamburger SV 0-0 Werder BremenBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Werder Bremen score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Werder Bremen2.11.539/159/15
Hamburger SV1.61.839/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Werder Bremen sit 8th in Bundesliga (9 points from 6 matches) and Hamburger SV sit 9th (9 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Werder Bremen623112129
9Hamburger SV63036159

A question about Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV?
The Footlab AI model makes Werder Bremen the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Hamburger SV.
Where and when is Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV played?
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Werder Bremen and Hamburger SV

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