FC Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Arena AufSchalke, Gelsenkirchen
The Footlab AI model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for FC Schalke 04. The most likely score is 1-1. If VfB Stuttgart wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart?
VfB Stuttgart starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (2,290 vs 2,100).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Schalke 04
3-4-2-1- 10E. Džeko
- 8R. Gosens
- 23S. El-Faouzi
- 19K. Karaman
- 13S. Tanaka
- 17A. Gantenbein
- 24A. Aouchiche
- 4H. Kuruçay
- 25N. Katić
- 5T. Becker
- 1L. Karius
VfB Stuttgart
4-2-3-1- 9E. Demirović
- 6A. Stiller
- 26D. Undav
- 18J. Leweling
- 16A. Karazor
- 11B. El Khannouss
- 24J. Chabot
- 3R. Hendriks
- 4J. Vagnoman
- 29Finn Jeltsch
- 41D. Seimen
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 08:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Schalke 04 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; VfB Stuttgart have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05(home) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | SC Freiburg(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Austria Lustenau(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 0-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Union Berlin(away) | 3-1 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hamburger SV(away) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 1, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Schalke 04 wins, 3 draws, 1 VfB Stuttgart win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | FC Schalke 04 2-1 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Sep 3, 2022 | VfB Stuttgart 1-1 FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga |
| Feb 27, 2021 | VfB Stuttgart 5-1 FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 30, 2020 | FC Schalke 04 1-1 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| May 18, 2019 | FC Schalke 04 0-0 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Dec 22, 2018 | VfB Stuttgart 1-3 FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: FC Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart on Feb 25, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
FC Schalke 04 score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Stuttgart score 2.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 2.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Schalke 04 sit 15th in Bundesliga (5 points from 6 matches) and VfB Stuttgart sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Schalke 04 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
A question about FC Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart?
- The Footlab AI model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for FC Schalke 04.
- Where and when is FC Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart played?
- FC Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Arena AufSchalke, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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