Match

FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC AugsburgFSV Mainz 05

The Footlab AI model makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,591 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?

On Elo ratings, FC Augsburg has 2,119 points and FSV Mainz 05 2,167.

26%20%54%
FC Augsburg winDrawFSV Mainz 05 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Augsburg

3-4-2-1
  1. 9Rodrigo Ribeiro
  1. 16Hennes Behrens
  2. 4H. Massengo
  3. 19R. Fellhauer
  4. 32F. Rieder
  5. 21A. Ibrahimović
  6. 27M. Wolf
  1. 2C. Brackelmann
  2. 5C. Matsima
  3. 35Abdulay Bah
  1. 1F. Dahmen

FSV Mainz 05

3-5-2
  1. 9P. Tietz
  2. 23S. Becker
  1. 10N. Amiri
  2. 19A. Caci
  3. 2P. Mwene
  4. 6K. Sano
  5. 7Lee Jae-Sung
  1. 4S. Posch
  2. 48K. Potulski
  3. 3F. Gruber
  1. 1A. Schwolow

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 09:23 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; FSV Mainz 05 have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Augsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026SV Elversberg(away)3-4Bundesliga
Oct 10, 2026Bayern München(home)2-2Bundesliga
Oct 2, 2026Hertha BSC(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Werder Bremen(away)2-3Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)2-2Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026FC Schalke 04(away)1-0Bundesliga
Oct 10, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)3-4Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(away)4-3Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)1-3Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Augsburg win, 1 draw, 4 FSV Mainz 05 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 7, 2026FSV Mainz 05 2-0 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Sep 20, 2025FC Augsburg 1-4 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
Feb 8, 2025FSV Mainz 05 0-0 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Sep 20, 2024FC Augsburg 2-3 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
Feb 17, 2024FSV Mainz 05 1-0 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Sep 23, 2023FC Augsburg 2-1 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Augsburg on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Augsburg score 2.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Mainz 05 score 3.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Augsburg2.92.1310/1513/15
FSV Mainz 053.51.096/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Augsburg sit 10th in Bundesliga (8 points from 6 matches) and FSV Mainz 05 sit 5th (10 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5FSV Mainz 056312141010
10FC Augsburg622216128

A question about FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?
The Footlab AI model makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for FC Augsburg.
Where and when is FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 played?
FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Augsburg and FSV Mainz 05

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