Where and when is FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 played?

FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC Augsburg

FSV Mainz 05

The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate FC Augsburg (2,073) and FSV Mainz 05 (2,158).

FC Augsburg win27 %

Draw21 %

FSV Mainz 05 win52 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; FSV Mainz 05 have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Augsburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Energie Cottbus(away)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Leeds(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Sassuolo(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026	Schwaz(away)	15-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2026	Bournemouth(home)	2-5	Friendlies Clubs

FSV Mainz 05
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Krieschow(away)	9-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Bournemouth(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Paris FC(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Udinese(away)	3-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Augsburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FSV Mainz 05 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 7, 2026	FSV Mainz 05 2-0 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2025	FC Augsburg 1-4 FSV Mainz 05	Bundesliga
Feb 8, 2025	FSV Mainz 05 0-0 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2024	FC Augsburg 2-3 FSV Mainz 05	Bundesliga
Feb 17, 2024	FSV Mainz 05 1-0 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga
Sep 23, 2023	FC Augsburg 2-1 FSV Mainz 05	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Augsburg on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Mainz 05 score 3.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Augsburg	2.5	2.0	2	10/15	10/15
FSV Mainz 05	3.0	1.3	6	7/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Augsburg sit 9th in Bundesliga (43 points from 34 matches) and FSV Mainz 05 sit 10th (40 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	FC Augsburg	34	12	7	15	45	61	43
10	FSV Mainz 05	34	10	10	14	44	53	40

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?: The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for FC Augsburg.
Where and when is FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 played?: FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.