Where and when is SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 played?

SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg

SV Elversberg

FSV Mainz 05

The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for SV Elversberg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate SV Elversberg (2,090) and FSV Mainz 05 (2,142).

SV Elversberg win38 %

Draw24 %

FSV Mainz 05 win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Elversberg have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; FSV Mainz 05 have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Elversberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	MSV Duisburg(away)	3-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Lorient(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Mallorca(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Strasbourg(away)	5-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	NEC Nijmegen(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

FSV Mainz 05
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Krieschow(away)	9-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Bournemouth(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Paris FC(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Udinese(away)	3-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 SV Elversberg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FSV Mainz 05 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 12, 2023	SV Elversberg 0-1 FSV Mainz 05	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2021	SV Elversberg 2-2 FSV Mainz 05	DFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 on Aug 12, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

SV Elversberg score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Mainz 05 score 3.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SV Elversberg	2.5	1.2	4	11/15	11/15
FSV Mainz 05	3.0	1.3	6	7/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	FSV Mainz 05	34	10	10	14	44	53	40

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?: The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for SV Elversberg.
Where and when is SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 played?: SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.