Match

Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin

Union Berlin1. FC Köln

The Footlab AI model makes Union Berlin the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 1-1. If Union Berlin wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Union Berlin (2,009) and 1. FC Köln (2,044).

45%22%33%
Union Berlin winDraw1. FC Köln win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Union Berlin

4-1-2-1-2
  1. 29E. Latte Lath
  2. 11Jeong Woo-Yeong
  1. 8R. Khedira
  2. 20M. Aebischer
  3. 6A. Kemlein
  4. 13A. Schäfer
  1. 15T. Rothe
  2. 2F. Uduokhai
  3. 14L. Querfeld
  4. 18J. Juranović
  1. 1F. Rønnow

1. FC Köln

4-2-3-1
  1. 27T. Dallinga
  1. 5T. Krauß
  2. 6E. Skhiri
  3. 37L. Maina
  4. 47M. Moore
  5. 29J. Thielmann
  1. 24L. Lochoshvili
  2. 22Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
  3. 14G. Mensah
  4. 17A. Castro-Montes
  1. 1M. Schwäbe

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:04 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Berlin have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; 1. FC Köln have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 18, 2026Bayern München(away)0-7Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)1-3Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-4Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)3-3Bundesliga
Aug 23, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)4-2DFB Pokal
1. FC Köln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026FC Viktoria Köln(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Hamburger SV(away)1-2Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Werder Bremen(home)1-1Bundesliga
Sep 4, 2026VfB Stuttgart(away)1-4Bundesliga
Aug 29, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)3-2Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Union Berlin wins, 2 draws, 1 1. FC Köln win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Union Berlin 2-2 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Dec 20, 20251. FC Köln 0-1 Union BerlinBundesliga
May 11, 20241. FC Köln 3-2 Union BerlinBundesliga
Dec 20, 2023Union Berlin 2-0 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Mar 4, 2023Union Berlin 0-0 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Sep 11, 20221. FC Köln 0-1 Union BerlinBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Union Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Köln score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Union Berlin2.32.5111/1512/15
1. FC Köln2.11.9114/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Union Berlin sit 17th in Bundesliga (1 point from 4 matches) and 1. FC Köln sit 13th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
131. FC Köln4112694
17Union Berlin40134171

A question about Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?
The Footlab AI model makes Union Berlin the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for 1. FC Köln.
Where and when is Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln played?
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Union Berlin and 1. FC Köln

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