Boston Town vs Nantwich Town: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mortgages For You Stadium, Boston, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Boston Town the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Nantwich Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boston Town vs Nantwich Town?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Boston Town (1,818) and Nantwich Town (1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boston Town have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Nantwich Town have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2025 | Sporting Khalsa(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Sporting Khalsa(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Newark Flowserve(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Newark Flowserve(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Kimberley Miners Welfare(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Chester(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Wythenshawe Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Avro(home) | 0-4 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Darlaston Town(home) | 5-1 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bury(away) | 0-1 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
How many goals should we expect?
Boston Town score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nantwich Town score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Town | 1.4 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Nantwich Town | 1.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boston Town vs Nantwich Town?
- The Footlab model makes Boston Town the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Nantwich Town.
- Where and when is Boston Town vs Nantwich Town played?
- Boston Town vs Nantwich Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Mortgages For You Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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