Botev Ihtiman vs CSKA Sofia III: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Ihtiman
The Footlab model makes Botev Ihtiman the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for CSKA Sofia III. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Botev Ihtiman vs CSKA Sofia III?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Botev Ihtiman (1,469) and CSKA Sofia III (1,490).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Ihtiman have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; CSKA Sofia III have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kostinbrod(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 3-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Vitosha Bistritsa(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyustendil(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oborishte(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Kostinbrod(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Botev Ihtiman win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 CSKA Sofia III win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman 1-1 CSKA Sofia III | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 17, 2025 | CSKA Sofia III 1-2 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| May 24, 2025 | CSKA Sofia III 1-1 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Botev Ihtiman 0-0 CSKA Sofia III | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Botev Ihtiman vs CSKA Sofia III on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Botev Ihtiman score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia III score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Ihtiman | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| CSKA Sofia III | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botev Ihtiman sit 9th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and CSKA Sofia III sit 12th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Botev Ihtiman | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | CSKA Sofia III | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Botev Ihtiman vs CSKA Sofia III?
- The Footlab model makes Botev Ihtiman the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for CSKA Sofia III.
- Where and when is Botev Ihtiman vs CSKA Sofia III played?
- Botev Ihtiman vs CSKA Sofia III is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026BanskovsBelasitsa
- Aug 29, 2026OborishtevsFK Minyor Pernik
- Aug 29, 2026Strumska SlavavsPirin Razlog
- Aug 29, 2026KyustendilvsChavdar Etropole
- Aug 29, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsNatsional Sofia
- Aug 29, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsSlivnishki geroy
- Aug 29, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsKostinbrod
- Aug 29, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsBalkan Botevgrad