Septemvri Sofia II vs Slivnishki geroy: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion German, German
The Footlab model makes Septemvri Sofia II the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Slivnishki geroy. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia II vs Slivnishki geroy?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Septemvri Sofia II (1,510) and Slivnishki geroy (1,420).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Sofia II have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Slivnishki geroy have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(home) | 2-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kyustendil(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Septemvri Sofia II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Slivnishki geroy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy 3-1 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia II 0-0 Slivnishki geroy | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia II 1-0 Slivnishki geroy | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Slivnishki geroy 1-1 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Jun 6, 2024 | Septemvri Sofia II 2-0 Slivnishki geroy | Third League - Southwest |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Slivnishki geroy 2-1 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Slivnishki geroy vs Septemvri Sofia II on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Septemvri Sofia II score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Slivnishki geroy score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia II | 1.8 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Slivnishki geroy | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Septemvri Sofia II sit 7th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Slivnishki geroy sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Septemvri Sofia II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Slivnishki geroy | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Septemvri Sofia II vs Slivnishki geroy?
- The Footlab model makes Septemvri Sofia II the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Slivnishki geroy.
- Where and when is Septemvri Sofia II vs Slivnishki geroy played?
- Septemvri Sofia II vs Slivnishki geroy is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion German, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026BanskovsBelasitsa
- Aug 29, 2026OborishtevsFK Minyor Pernik
- Aug 29, 2026Strumska SlavavsPirin Razlog
- Aug 29, 2026Botev IhtimanvsCSKA Sofia III
- Aug 29, 2026KyustendilvsChavdar Etropole
- Aug 29, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsNatsional Sofia
- Aug 29, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsKostinbrod
- Aug 29, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsBalkan Botevgrad