Match

Septemvri Sofia II vs Slivnishki geroy: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion German, German

Septemvri Sofia IISlivnishki geroy

The Footlab model makes Septemvri Sofia II the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Slivnishki geroy. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Septemvri Sofia II vs Slivnishki geroy?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Septemvri Sofia II (1,510) and Slivnishki geroy (1,420).

Septemvri Sofia II win63 %
Draw23 %
Slivnishki geroy win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Sofia II have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Slivnishki geroy have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Septemvri Sofia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Belasitsa(away)1-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Levski Sofia II(away)1-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Slavia Sofia II(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 2, 2026Botev Ihtiman(away)2-1Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026Levski Sofia II(away)2-0Third League - Southwest
Slivnishki geroy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Levski Sofia II(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Slavia Sofia II(away)2-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Botev Ihtiman(home)2-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Kyustendil(away)1-2Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Slavia Sofia II(home)0-3Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Septemvri Sofia II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Slivnishki geroy win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Slivnishki geroy 3-1 Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest
Nov 2, 2025Septemvri Sofia II 0-0 Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest
Apr 2, 2025Septemvri Sofia II 1-0 Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest
Sep 7, 2024Slivnishki geroy 1-1 Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest
Jun 6, 2024Septemvri Sofia II 2-0 Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest
Feb 10, 2024Slivnishki geroy 2-1 Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Slivnishki geroy vs Septemvri Sofia II on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Septemvri Sofia II score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Slivnishki geroy score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Septemvri Sofia II1.80.887/158/15
Slivnishki geroy1.51.258/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Septemvri Sofia II sit 7th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Slivnishki geroy sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Septemvri Sofia II4211547
8Slivnishki geroy4202666

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Septemvri Sofia II vs Slivnishki geroy?
The Footlab model makes Septemvri Sofia II the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Slivnishki geroy.
Where and when is Septemvri Sofia II vs Slivnishki geroy played?
Septemvri Sofia II vs Slivnishki geroy is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion German, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Septemvri Sofia II and Slivnishki geroy

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