Where and when is Kyustendil vs Chavdar Etropole played?

Kyustendil vs Chavdar Etropole is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Osogovo, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kyustendil vs Chavdar Etropole: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Osogovo, Kyustendil

Kyustendil

Chavdar Etropole

The Footlab model makes Kyustendil the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Chavdar Etropole. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kyustendil vs Chavdar Etropole?

Chavdar Etropole starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,599 vs 1,450).

Kyustendil win45 %

Draw26 %

Chavdar Etropole win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyustendil have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Chavdar Etropole have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kyustendil
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(away)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(home)	0-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Kostinbrod(away)	1-3	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Slivnishki geroy(home)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(away)	0-2	Third League - Southwest

Chavdar Etropole
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(home)	4-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Strumska Slava(away)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Oborishte(home)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Bansko(away)	0-3	Third League - Southwest
Feb 17, 2024	CSKA Sofia II(away)	0-3	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kyustendil win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Chavdar Etropole win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 30, 2023	Chavdar Etropole 2-1 Kyustendil	Third League - Southwest
May 6, 2023	Chavdar Etropole 2-1 Kyustendil	Third League - Southwest
Mar 25, 2023	Kyustendil 2-0 Chavdar Etropole	Third League - Southwest
May 18, 2022	Kyustendil 0-1 Chavdar Etropole	Third League - Southwest
Nov 6, 2021	Chavdar Etropole 2-0 Kyustendil	Third League - Southwest
May 15, 2021	Kyustendil 2-0 Chavdar Etropole	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Chavdar Etropole vs Kyustendil on Sep 30, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Kyustendil score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chavdar Etropole score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kyustendil	0.7	1.6	4	8/15	7/15
Chavdar Etropole	2.2	1.1	6	7/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kyustendil sit 15th in Third League - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Chavdar Etropole sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Chavdar Etropole	4	1	1	2	6	8	4
15	Kyustendil	4	1	1	2	4	6	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kyustendil vs Chavdar Etropole?: The Footlab model makes Kyustendil the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Chavdar Etropole.
Where and when is Kyustendil vs Chavdar Etropole played?: Kyustendil vs Chavdar Etropole is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Osogovo, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.