Where and when is Oborishte vs FK Minyor Pernik played?

Oborishte vs FK Minyor Pernik is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Orcho voyvoda, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Oborishte vs FK Minyor Pernik: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Orcho voyvoda, Panagyurishte

Oborishte

FK Minyor Pernik

The Footlab model makes Oborishte the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for FK Minyor Pernik. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oborishte vs FK Minyor Pernik?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Oborishte (1,531) and FK Minyor Pernik (1,516).

Oborishte win52 %

Draw25 %

FK Minyor Pernik win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oborishte have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; FK Minyor Pernik have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oborishte
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pirin Razlog(away)	4-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Natsional Sofia(home)	3-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(away)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(home)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	Germaneya(home)	5-1	Third League - Southwest

FK Minyor Pernik
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bansko(home)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Belasitsa(home)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Pirin Razlog(away)	3-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Natsional Sofia(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
May 23, 2026	Dunav Ruse(home)	1-2	Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Oborishte win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FK Minyor Pernik win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 27, 2024	Oborishte 1-2 FK Minyor Pernik	Third League - Southwest
Oct 7, 2023	FK Minyor Pernik 2-1 Oborishte	Third League - Southwest
Nov 9, 2019	Oborishte 0-0 FK Minyor Pernik	Third League - Southwest
Mar 20, 2019	FK Minyor Pernik 0-1 Oborishte	Third League - Southwest
Sep 1, 2018	Oborishte 3-1 FK Minyor Pernik	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Oborishte vs FK Minyor Pernik on Apr 27, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Oborishte score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FK Minyor Pernik score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Oborishte	1.6	1.1	3	9/15	7/15
FK Minyor Pernik	1.3	1.5	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oborishte sit 3rd in Third League - Southwest (8 points from 4 matches) and FK Minyor Pernik sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Oborishte	4	2	2	0	9	5	8
4	FK Minyor Pernik	4	2	1	1	6	3	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oborishte vs FK Minyor Pernik?: The Footlab model makes Oborishte the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for FK Minyor Pernik.
Where and when is Oborishte vs FK Minyor Pernik played?: Oborishte vs FK Minyor Pernik is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Orcho voyvoda, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.