Match

Bansko vs Belasitsa: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sveti Petar, Bansko

BanskoBelasitsa

The Footlab model makes Bansko the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Belasitsa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bansko vs Belasitsa?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Bansko (1,491) and Belasitsa (1,483).

Bansko win53 %
Draw24 %
Belasitsa win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bansko have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Belasitsa have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bansko
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FK Minyor Pernik(away)2-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Pirin Razlog(home)3-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Natsional Sofia(away)2-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Chavdar Etropole(home)3-0Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026Balkan Botevgrad(home)0-2Third League - Southwest
Belasitsa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Septemvri Sofia II(home)2-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026FK Minyor Pernik(away)1-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Levski Sofia II(home)4-5Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Pirin Razlog(away)3-1Third League - Southwest
Jul 24, 2026Belasica(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bansko win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Belasitsa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2022Belasitsa 3-0 BanskoThird League - Southwest
Aug 14, 2021Bansko 1-2 BelasitsaThird League - Southwest
Aug 4, 2021Bansko 3-1 BelasitsaCup
Apr 14, 2021Belasitsa 2-1 BanskoThird League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2020Bansko 0-1 BelasitsaThird League - Southwest
Oct 12, 2019Bansko 1-0 BelasitsaThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Belasitsa vs Bansko on Feb 26, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Bansko score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Belasitsa score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bansko1.71.167/1510/15
Belasitsa1.71.9310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bansko sit 1st in Third League - Southwest (10 points from 4 matches) and Belasitsa sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Bansko431010410
5Belasitsa42111087

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bansko vs Belasitsa?
The Footlab model makes Bansko the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Belasitsa.
Where and when is Bansko vs Belasitsa played?
Bansko vs Belasitsa is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sveti Petar, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bansko and Belasitsa

Ready to know everything about football?