Bansko vs Belasitsa: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sveti Petar, Bansko
The Footlab model makes Bansko the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Belasitsa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bansko vs Belasitsa?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Bansko (1,491) and Belasitsa (1,483).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bansko have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Belasitsa have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 2-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 4-5 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Belasica(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bansko win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Belasitsa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | Belasitsa 3-0 Bansko | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Bansko 1-2 Belasitsa | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 4, 2021 | Bansko 3-1 Belasitsa | Cup |
| Apr 14, 2021 | Belasitsa 2-1 Bansko | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2020 | Bansko 0-1 Belasitsa | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Bansko 1-0 Belasitsa | Third League - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Bansko score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Belasitsa score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bansko | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Belasitsa | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bansko sit 1st in Third League - Southwest (10 points from 4 matches) and Belasitsa sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bansko | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Belasitsa | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bansko vs Belasitsa?
- The Footlab model makes Bansko the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Belasitsa.
- Where and when is Bansko vs Belasitsa played?
- Bansko vs Belasitsa is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sveti Petar, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026OborishtevsFK Minyor Pernik
- Aug 29, 2026Strumska SlavavsPirin Razlog
- Aug 29, 2026Botev IhtimanvsCSKA Sofia III
- Aug 29, 2026KyustendilvsChavdar Etropole
- Aug 29, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsNatsional Sofia
- Aug 29, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsSlivnishki geroy
- Aug 29, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsKostinbrod
- Aug 29, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsBalkan Botevgrad