Strumska Slava vs Pirin Razlog: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Radomir
The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Pirin Razlog. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Strumska Slava vs Pirin Razlog?
Strumska Slava starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (1,563 vs 1,366).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strumska Slava have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Pirin Razlog have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oborishte(home) | 2-4 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Strumska Slava win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pirin Razlog win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Pirin Razlog 2-1 Strumska Slava | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Strumska Slava 2-0 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Pirin Razlog vs Strumska Slava on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Strumska Slava score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Razlog score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strumska Slava | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Pirin Razlog | 1.3 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Strumska Slava sit 2nd in Third League - Southwest (10 points from 4 matches) and Pirin Razlog sit 18th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Strumska Slava vs Pirin Razlog?
- The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Pirin Razlog.
- Where and when is Strumska Slava vs Pirin Razlog played?
- Strumska Slava vs Pirin Razlog is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026BanskovsBelasitsa
- Aug 29, 2026OborishtevsFK Minyor Pernik
- Aug 29, 2026Botev IhtimanvsCSKA Sofia III
- Aug 29, 2026KyustendilvsChavdar Etropole
- Aug 29, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsNatsional Sofia
- Aug 29, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsSlivnishki geroy
- Aug 29, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsKostinbrod
- Aug 29, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsBalkan Botevgrad