Match

Strumska Slava vs Pirin Razlog: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Radomir

Strumska SlavaPirin Razlog

The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Pirin Razlog. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Strumska Slava vs Pirin Razlog?

Strumska Slava starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (1,563 vs 1,366).

Strumska Slava win79 %
Draw14 %
Pirin Razlog win7 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strumska Slava have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Pirin Razlog have 6, 0 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Strumska Slava
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Natsional Sofia(away)3-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Chavdar Etropole(home)2-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026CSKA Sofia III(away)0-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Balkan Botevgrad(home)2-0Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Pirin Razlog(away)1-2Third League - Southwest
Pirin Razlog
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Oborishte(home)2-4Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Bansko(away)1-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026FK Minyor Pernik(home)0-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Belasitsa(home)1-3Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Strumska Slava(home)2-1Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Strumska Slava win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pirin Razlog win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026Pirin Razlog 2-1 Strumska SlavaThird League - Southwest
Nov 15, 2025Strumska Slava 2-0 Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Pirin Razlog vs Strumska Slava on May 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Strumska Slava score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Razlog score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Strumska Slava1.61.149/1510/15
Pirin Razlog1.31.958/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Strumska Slava sit 2nd in Third League - Southwest (10 points from 4 matches) and Pirin Razlog sit 18th (0 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Strumska Slava43107110
18Pirin Razlog40044130

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Strumska Slava vs Pirin Razlog?
The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Pirin Razlog.
Where and when is Strumska Slava vs Pirin Razlog played?
Strumska Slava vs Pirin Razlog is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Strumska Slava and Pirin Razlog

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