Slavia Sofia II vs Balkan Botevgrad: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Slavija pomoshten teren, Sofia
The Footlab model makes Slavia Sofia II the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Balkan Botevgrad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slavia Sofia II vs Balkan Botevgrad?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Slavia Sofia II (1,492) and Balkan Botevgrad (1,484).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slavia Sofia II have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Balkan Botevgrad have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kostinbrod(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyustendil(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Strumska Slava(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Slavia Sofia II win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Balkan Botevgrad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad 2-0 Slavia Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Slavia Sofia II 2-1 Balkan Botevgrad | Third League - Southwest |
| May 21, 2025 | Slavia Sofia II 3-3 Balkan Botevgrad | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Balkan Botevgrad 1-1 Slavia Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| May 15, 2024 | Balkan Botevgrad 2-2 Slavia Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Slavia Sofia II 1-2 Balkan Botevgrad | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Balkan Botevgrad vs Slavia Sofia II on Apr 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Slavia Sofia II score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Balkan Botevgrad score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Sofia II | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Balkan Botevgrad | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slavia Sofia II sit 16th in Third League - Southwest (3 points from 4 matches) and Balkan Botevgrad sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Balkan Botevgrad | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 16 | Slavia Sofia II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slavia Sofia II vs Balkan Botevgrad?
- The Footlab model makes Slavia Sofia II the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Balkan Botevgrad.
- Where and when is Slavia Sofia II vs Balkan Botevgrad played?
- Slavia Sofia II vs Balkan Botevgrad is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Slavija pomoshten teren, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026BanskovsBelasitsa
- Aug 29, 2026OborishtevsFK Minyor Pernik
- Aug 29, 2026Strumska SlavavsPirin Razlog
- Aug 29, 2026Botev IhtimanvsCSKA Sofia III
- Aug 29, 2026KyustendilvsChavdar Etropole
- Aug 29, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsNatsional Sofia
- Aug 29, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsSlivnishki geroy
- Aug 29, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsKostinbrod