Brentford vs Crystal Palace: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex
The Footlab AI model makes Brentford the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Crystal Palace. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brentford wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,863 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Brentford (2,250) and Crystal Palace (2,162).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brentford vs Crystal Palace
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brentford
4-2-3-1- 9Thiago
- 27V. Janelt
- 19J. Anthony
- 18M. Sangaré
- 7K. Schade
- 11D. Ouattara
- 33M. Kayode
- 20K. Ajer
- 23K. Lewis-Potter
- 4S. van den Berg
- 1C. Kelleher
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1- 14J. Mateta
- 3T. Mitchell
- 20A. Wharton
- 10Yeremy Pino
- 18D. Kamada
- 25A. Khalaili
- 11D. McNeil
- 26C. Richards
- 6J. Canvot
- 5A. Disasi
- 44W. Benítez
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 11:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brentford have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Crystal Palace have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Liverpool(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Brentford wins, 2 draws, 2 Crystal Palace wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Brentford 2-2 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Crystal Palace 2-0 Brentford | Premier League |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Crystal Palace 1-2 Brentford | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Brentford 2-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Crystal Palace 3-1 Brentford | Premier League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Brentford 1-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Brentford vs Crystal Palace on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brentford score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Crystal Palace score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 2.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Crystal Palace | 1.4 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brentford sit 6th in Premier League (11 points from 8 matches) and Crystal Palace sit 17th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 11 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 7 |
A question about Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brentford the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Crystal Palace.
- Where and when is Brentford vs Crystal Palace played?
- Brentford vs Crystal Palace is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gtech Community Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.