Match

Liverpool vs Coventry: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Anfield, Liverpool

LiverpoolCoventry

The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Coventry. The most likely score is 1-1. If Liverpool wins, the most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Liverpool vs Coventry?

Liverpool starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (2,294 vs 2,116).

61%22%17%
Liverpool winDrawCoventry win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Liverpool vs Coventry

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Liverpool

4-2-3-1
  1. 67L. Koumas
  1. 7F. Wirtz
  2. 10A. Mac Allister
  3. 29B. Barcola
  4. 23Víctor Muñoz
  5. 38R. Gravenberch
  1. 33R. Araújo
  2. 4V. van Dijk
  3. 5J. Jacquet
  4. 6M. Kerkez
  1. 1Alisson Becker

Coventry

4-2-3-1
  1. 49S. Cherif
  1. 6M. Grimes
  2. 5J. Rudoni
  3. 10E. Mason-Clark
  4. 8Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
  5. 23B. Thomas-Asante
  1. 4B. Thomas
  2. 3J. Dasilva
  3. 2E. Pinnock
  4. 27M. van Ewijk
  1. 19C. Rushworth

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:48 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liverpool have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Coventry have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Liverpool
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Manchester City(home)0-3Premier League
Sep 20, 2026Bournemouth(away)1-0Premier League
Sep 15, 2026Tottenham(home)3-1League Cup
Sep 12, 2026Fulham(home)0-0Premier League
Sep 9, 2026Atletico Madrid(home)2-1UEFA Champions League
Coventry
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026Newcastle(home)4-1Premier League
Sep 19, 2026Nottingham Forest(away)1-0Premier League
Sep 16, 2026Aston Villa(home)1-3League Cup
Sep 13, 2026Brighton(home)0-5Premier League
Sep 5, 2026Manchester City(away)0-1Premier League

How many goals should we expect?

Liverpool score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Coventry score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Liverpool1.61.559/159/15
Coventry1.91.347/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Liverpool sit 9th in Premier League (9 points from 6 matches) and Coventry sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Liverpool6231779
14Coventry62045116

A question about Liverpool vs Coventry?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Liverpool vs Coventry?
The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Coventry.
Where and when is Liverpool vs Coventry played?
Liverpool vs Coventry is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Anfield, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Liverpool and Coventry

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