Manchester City vs Tottenham: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Etihad Stadium, Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Manchester City the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Tottenham. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manchester City vs Tottenham?
Manchester City is a heavy favourite: 2,449 Elo points against 2,148, a 301-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Manchester City vs Tottenham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Manchester City
4-2-3-1- 9E. Haaland
- 10R. Cherki
- 42A. Semenyo
- 5E. Anderson
- 17E. Fernández
- 7I. Ndiaye
- 3Rúben Dias
- 6M. Guéhi
- 27Matheus Nunes
- 24J. Gvardiol
- 1G. Donnarumma
Tottenham
4-2-3-1- 19D. Solanke
- 16S. Tonali
- 17Sávio
- 8C. Gallagher
- 15L. Bergvall
- 20M. Kudus
- 6J. van Hecke
- 14A. Gray
- 13D. Udogie
- 5M. Senesi
- 31A. Kinský
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manchester City have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Tottenham have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 5-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 5-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Everton(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Manchester City wins, 1 draw, 3 Tottenham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Tottenham 2-2 Manchester City | Premier League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Manchester City 0-2 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Tottenham 0-1 Manchester City | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Manchester City 0-4 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Tottenham 2-1 Manchester City | League Cup |
| May 14, 2024 | Tottenham 0-2 Manchester City | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Tottenham vs Manchester City on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Manchester City score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tottenham score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Tottenham | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manchester City sit 1st in Premier League (18 points from 6 matches) and Tottenham sit 19th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 18 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
A question about Manchester City vs Tottenham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manchester City vs Tottenham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manchester City the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Tottenham.
- Where and when is Manchester City vs Tottenham played?
- Manchester City vs Tottenham is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Etihad Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.