Match

Mérida AD vs Racing Ferrol: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 34Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Romano, Mérida

Mérida ADRacing Ferrol

The Footlab AI model makes Racing Ferrol the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Mérida AD. The most likely score is 1-1. If Racing Ferrol wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mérida AD vs Racing Ferrol?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Mérida AD (1,882) and Racing Ferrol (1,884).

34%28%38%
Mérida AD winDrawRacing Ferrol win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mérida AD vs Racing Ferrol

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mérida AD

4-3-3
  1. 21Raúl Beneit
  2. 19D. Sandoval
  3. 11S. El Ftouhi
  1. 6Jota
  2. 23Geovanny Almeida
  3. 8Martín Solar
  1. 2Alejandro Agustín
  2. 4Gonzalez Nacho
  3. 16Fito
  4. 5Hugo Sanz
  1. 1A. Csenterics

Racing Ferrol

4-3-3
  1. 10Dani Ojeda
  2. 19Roberto Arroyo
  3. 11Endika Bujan
  1. 6Fabio González
  2. 14Jesús Bernal
  3. 16Raúl Blanco
  1. 2Migue Leal
  2. 17Álvaro Ramón
  3. 4Germán Novoa
  4. 5Eric Monjonell
  1. 1Lucas Díaz

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:25 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mérida AD have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Racing Ferrol have 5, 7 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mérida AD
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Pontevedra(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Cacereño(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026UD Logroñés(home)3-5Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Ponferradina(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2026Mirandes(home)3-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Racing Ferrol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Pontevedra(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Lugo(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Barakaldo(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026Real Unión(home)3-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Mérida AD wins, 2 draws, 0 Racing Ferrol wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Mérida AD 2-1 Racing FerrolPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 29, 2025Racing Ferrol 2-2 Mérida ADPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 9, 2023Mérida AD 2-1 Racing FerrolPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 27, 2022Racing Ferrol 1-1 Mérida ADPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Mérida AD vs Racing Ferrol on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mérida AD score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Ferrol score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mérida AD1.11.926/157/15
Racing Ferrol1.10.967/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mérida AD sit 12th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (9 points from 7 matches) and Racing Ferrol sit 3rd (13 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Racing Ferrol74128513
12Mérida AD730411129

A question about Mérida AD vs Racing Ferrol?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mérida AD vs Racing Ferrol?
The Footlab AI model makes Racing Ferrol the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Mérida AD.
Where and when is Mérida AD vs Racing Ferrol played?
Mérida AD vs Racing Ferrol is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Romano, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mérida AD and Racing Ferrol

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