Match

Atlético Paso vs Real Ávila: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de El Paso, El Paso

Atlético PasoReal Ávila

The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Real Ávila. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Paso wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,818 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Paso vs Real Ávila?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Atlético Paso (1,871) and Real Ávila (1,887).

46%27%27%
Atlético Paso winDrawReal Ávila win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Atlético Paso vs Real Ávila

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Atlético Paso

Not enough data to predict the Atlético Paso lineup.

Real Ávila

4-4-2
  1. 9D. Lorenzo
  2. 12Carlos Pérez
  1. 30M. Sarr
  2. 7Runy
  3. 16M. Ruiz
  4. 8Filipe Sissé
  1. 23G. L. Urbina
  2. 5C. Pascual
  3. 22F. Garrido Diaz
  4. 3Michael Ngaah
  1. 1O. Lopez

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 07:03 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Paso have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Real Ávila have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Paso
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Conquense(away)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026CF Talavera(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 3, 2026Real Madrid III(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Albacete II(away)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 19, 2026A Madrid III(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Real Ávila
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Real Valladolid II(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026Numancia(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026SS Reyes(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Getafe II(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 20, 2026Calvo Sotelo(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Paso score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Ávila score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlético Paso1.10.967/155/15
Real Ávila1.31.649/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atlético Paso sit 14th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (6 points from 7 matches) and Real Ávila sit 13th (7 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Real Ávila72147117
14Atlético Paso7133696

A question about Atlético Paso vs Real Ávila?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Paso vs Real Ávila?
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Real Ávila.
Where and when is Atlético Paso vs Real Ávila played?
Atlético Paso vs Real Ávila is played on October 24, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de El Paso, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Atlético Paso and Real Ávila

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